Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.266115 3.655209 4.076769 4.568171 5.126180 5.741184 6.471791
2024-10-20 2.672805 3.183231 3.775524 4.516353 5.421996 6.497908 7.880071
2024-10-27 2.194659 2.736449 3.397955 4.270331 5.398319 6.818085 8.756940
2024-11-03 1.953430 2.530166 3.264865 4.277945 5.651880 7.469238 10.086514
2024-11-10 1.804638 2.415997 3.224157 4.383106 6.022817 8.290264 11.716494
2024-11-17 1.659223 2.285923 3.141484 4.411349 6.276456 8.959709 13.193255
2024-11-24 1.537243 2.173116 3.066772 4.435232 6.514998 9.618013 14.714073
2024-12-01 1.431693 2.071952 2.995964 4.452103 6.736181 10.261550 16.273214
2024-12-08 1.309472 1.934592 2.858117 4.351014 6.759700 10.592241 17.353781
2024-12-15 1.222485 1.842127 2.778359 4.329432 6.901345 11.116855 18.806603
2024-12-22 1.140484 1.750268 2.691005 4.285624 6.998313 11.570531 20.179144
2024-12-29 1.116159 1.746530 2.740845 4.468074 7.488373 12.735180 22.960124
2025-01-05 1.051454 1.674652 2.677776 4.459913 7.656361 13.366882 24.859124
2025-01-12 0.985969 1.596692 2.598685 4.417083 7.758250 13.889218 26.615041
2025-01-19 0.891673 1.463854 2.417482 4.178798 7.480554 13.675882 26.872970
2025-01-26 0.848444 1.414755 2.375697 4.186663 7.660692 14.349632 29.034269
2025-02-02 0.824154 1.396465 2.385743 4.289443 8.030036 15.429121 32.196119
2025-02-09 0.790051 1.358350 2.357416 4.317044 8.253379 16.236044 34.866443
2025-02-16 0.757929 1.321496 2.328463 4.340368 8.469028 17.047306 37.654025
2025-02-23 0.727229 1.285109 2.297593 4.356841 8.671020 17.848737 40.526629
2025-03-02 0.683644 1.222103 2.212546 4.258147 8.621263 18.095519 42.091192
2025-03-09 0.653180 1.181752 2.167721 4.237075 8.734731 18.714677 44.660819
2025-03-16 0.622207 1.138539 2.114504 4.194302 8.796304 19.220838 47.011466